President
Who will win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
US Presidential Party November 2028 · November 2028 · Trading open
Democrat52%
Republican44%
$19.9K vol.
About this market
Traders price Democrats at 52% to win, ahead of Republicans at 44%.
The market has $19.9K in volume across 190 trades; the most recent was on Oct 16, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 7, 2029. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
The political party of the candidate that wins the US Presidential Election
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- DemocratResolves Yes if a Democrat wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
- RepublicanResolves Yes if a Republican wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Nov 29, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 7, 2029
- Expected result
- Jan 7, 2029
- Expected payout
- Jan 7, 2029
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.