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Labor

What will the increase in US Payroll Employment be?

US Payroll Employment January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 15 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Feb 11, 2027, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Nonfarm payroll is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 40000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 40,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 50000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 50,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 60000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 60,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 70000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 70,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 80000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 80,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 90000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 90,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • 100000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 100,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 110000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 110,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 120000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 120,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 130000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 130,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 140000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 140,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 150000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 150,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 160000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 160,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 170000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 170,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).
  • 180000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 180,000 in January 2027? (NFP) (jobs report) (labor market).

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trading opened
Nov 6, 2026
Trading closes
Feb 11, 2027, 8:30 AM ET
Expected result
Feb 11, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 11, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.