Labor

What will the increase in US Payroll Employment be?

US Payroll Employment June 2027 · June 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jul 2, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Nonfarm payroll is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • -150000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds -150,000 in June 2027.
  • -250000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds -250,000 in June 2027.
  • -50000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds -50,000 in June 2027.
  • 150000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 150,000 in June 2027.
  • 250000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 250,000 in June 2027.
  • 350000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 350,000 in June 2027.
Show rules for all 8 outcomes
  • 450000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 450,000 in June 2027.
  • 50000Resolves Yes if the increase in US Payroll Employment exceeds 50,000 in June 2027.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trading opened
Jul 3, 2025
Trading closes
Jul 2, 2027
Expected result
Jul 2, 2027
Expected payout
Jul 2, 2027

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.