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Labor

US Total Layoffs December 2026

US Total Layoffs December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Feb 2, 2027. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The underlying event specification is the seasonally adjusted number of layoffs and discharges for the specified industry or region during the time period for the contract as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover report.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 1500Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,500 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).
  • 1550Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,550 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).
  • 1600Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,600 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).
  • 1650Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,650 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).
  • 1700Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,700 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).
  • 1750Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,750 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • 1800Resolves Yes if layoffs in the US exceeds 1,800 thousand in December 2026? (job cuts) (labor market) (employment).

Result confirmed by Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trading opened
Sep 28, 2026
Trading closes
Feb 2, 2027
Expected result
Feb 2, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 2, 2027

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.