Control of Congress
Senate Control
Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
$430K vol.
About this market
Traders price Democrats at 67%, ahead of Republicans at 31%.
The market has $430K in volume across 956 trades; the most recent was on Oct 30, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 4, 2027, 4:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
Which party will be the Majority party in the Senate after a given election.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- DemocraticResolves Yes if the Democratic Party wins a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election.
- RepublicanResolves Yes if the Republican Party wins a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Nov 29, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 4, 2027, 4:00 PM ET
- Expected result
- Jan 4, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 4, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.