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Control of Congress

Democratic Seats in the House

Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 12 outcomes
  • 240
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • More than 245 seats
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • More than 250 seats
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • More than 255 seats
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 3, 2027, 8:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.

The underlying is the number of seats held by the specified party in the specifed chamber following the election detailed in the contract as reported by the United States Congress.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 200Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 200 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 205Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 205 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 210Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 210 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 215Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 215 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 220Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 220 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 225Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 225 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • 230Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 230 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 235Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 235 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • 240Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold at least 240 seats in the House following the 2026 election?” is yes.
  • More than 245 seatsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold more than 245 seats in the House following the 2026 election? (Congress) (Capitol Hill) (congressional control)?” is yes.
  • More than 250 seatsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold more than 250 seats in the House following the 2026 election? (Congress) (Capitol Hill) (congressional control)?” is yes.
  • More than 255 seatsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will Democrats hold more than 255 seats in the House following the 2026 election? (Congress) (Capitol Hill) (congressional control)?” is yes.

Result confirmed by United States Congress.

Trading opened
Nov 17, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 3, 2027, 8:00 AM ET
Expected result
Jan 3, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 3, 2027

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.