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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) be?

Phoenix Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$213 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 79
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 80
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 81
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 73 at 97%, ahead of Above 74 at 60%.

The market has $213 in volume across 49 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 1:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Phoenix, AZ as reported by the Weather Underground for the Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl Airport Station (KPHX).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/phoenix-kphx.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 73Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 73 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 74Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 74 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 75Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 75 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 76Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 76 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 77Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 77 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 71Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 71 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 72Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 72 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 78Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 78 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 79Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 79 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 80Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 80 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 81Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 81 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 16, 2026, 1:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 16, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.