Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be?

San Francisco Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$474 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 59
    No trades yet
  • Above 67
    No trades yet
  • Above 68
    No trades yet

About this market

Traders price Above 60 at 97%, ahead of Above 61 at 93%.

The market has $474 in volume across 140 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 2:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in San Francisco, CA as reported by the Weather Underground for the San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/san-francisco-ksfo.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 60Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 60 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 61Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 61 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 62Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 62 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 63Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 63 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 64Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 64 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 65Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 65 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 66Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 66 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 58 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 59 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 67Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 67 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 68Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceeds 68 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 16, 2026, 2:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 16, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 16, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.