Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) be?

Dallas Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$103 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 48
    No trades yet
  • Below 49
    No trades yet
  • Below 50
    No trades yet

About this market

Traders price Below 46 at 95%, ahead of Below 45 at 40%.

The market has $103 in volume across 23 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Dallas, TX as reported by the Weather Underground for the Dallas Fort Worth Intl Airport Station (KDFW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/dallas-kdfw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 46Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 46 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 45Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 45 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 44 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 43 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 42 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 40 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 41 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 47Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 47 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 48Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 48 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 49Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 49 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Dallas (DFW)(KDFW) is below 50 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 16, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.