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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$181 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 37
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 38
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 39
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 33 at 98%, ahead of Below 34 at 97%.

The market has $181 in volume across 33 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 33Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 33 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 34Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 34 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 36Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 36 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 35Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 35 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 32Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 32 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 31Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 31 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 29Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 29 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 30Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 30 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 37Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 37 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 38Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 38 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) is below 39 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 16, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.