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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) be?

Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open

$29 vol.
  • Below 33$14 vol.
    58%
    YesNo
  • Below 32$12 vol.
    30%
    YesNo
  • Below 31$3 vol.
    25%
    YesNo
  • Below 25
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 26
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 27
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 28
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 29
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 30
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 34
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 35
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 33 at 58%, ahead of Below 32 at 30%.

The market has $29 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as reported by the Weather Underground for the Minneapolis-Saint Paul Intl Airport/Wold-Chamberlain Field Station (KMSP).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/minneapolis-kmsp.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 33Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 33 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 32Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 32 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 31Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 31 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 25Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 25 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 26Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 26 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 27Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 27 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 28Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 28 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 29Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 29 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 30Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 30 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 34Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 34 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 35Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 35 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 11, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 12, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.