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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be?

San Francisco Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open

$127 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 53
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 59
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 60
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 56 at 98%, ahead of Below 57 at 98%.

The market has $127 in volume across 25 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 2:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in San Francisco, CA as reported by the Weather Underground for the San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/san-francisco-ksfo.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 56Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 56 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 57Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 57 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 58Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 58 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 55Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 55 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 54Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 54 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 50 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 51Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 51 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 52Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 52 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 53Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 53 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 59Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 59 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 60Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 60 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 11, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 2:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 13, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.