Labor
What will the US Unemployment Rate be?
US Unemployment Rate January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 11, 2027, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 3.4%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 3.4% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 3.6%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 3.6% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 3.8%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 3.8% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 4.2%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4.2% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 4.4%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4.4% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 4.6%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4.6% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4.8%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4.8% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 4%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
- Above 5%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 5% in January 2027? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy).
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Nov 6, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 11, 2027, 8:30 AM ET
- Expected result
- Feb 11, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 11, 2027
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Closes Jan 8, 2027, 8:30 AM ETUS Unemployment Rate
Closes Jul 2, 2027, 8:30 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.