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Climate Change

What will US carbon dioxide emmissions be?

United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2035 · Dec 31, 2035 · Trading open

$28 vol.
Show all 27 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 3650 at 82%, ahead of 4950 at 17%.

The market has $28 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on May 5, 2026.

Trading closes on Apr 30, 2036. The result is confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Carbon Dioxide is an important greenhouse gas and thought to be one of the major contributors to anthropogenic climate change, a major societal challenge. US Carbon Dioxide emissions estimate the amount of Carbon Dioxide emitted in the United States in a calendar year.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 3650Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,650 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4950Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,950 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 2850Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 2,850 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 2950Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 2,950 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3050Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,050 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3150Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,150 million metric tons in 2035.
Show rules for all 27 outcomes
  • 3250Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,250 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3350Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,350 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3450Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,450 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3550Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,550 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3750Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,750 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3850Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,850 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3900Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,900 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 3950Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,950 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4000Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,000 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4050Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,050 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4100Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,100 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4150Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,150 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4250Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,250 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4350Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,350 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4450Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,450 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4550Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,550 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4650Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,650 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4750Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,750 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 4850Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,850 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 5050Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 5,050 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 5150Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 5,150 million metric tons in 2035.

Result confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Trading opened
Oct 1, 2024
Trading closes
Apr 30, 2036
Expected result
Apr 30, 2036
Expected payout
May 1, 2036

More United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.