Open an account
Climate Change

What will US carbon dioxide emmissions be?

United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2027 · Dec 31, 2027 · Trading open

$314 vol.
Show all 17 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 4000 at 99%, ahead of 3900 at 98%.

The market has $314 in volume across 47 trades; the most recent was on Oct 6, 2026.

Trading closes on Apr 28, 2028. The result is confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Carbon Dioxide is an important greenhouse gas and thought to be one of the major contributors to anthropogenic climate change, a major societal challenge. US Carbon Dioxide emissions estimate the amount of Carbon Dioxide emitted in the United States in a calendar year.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 4000Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,000 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 3900Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 3,900 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4100Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,100 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4200Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,200 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4300Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,300 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4400Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,400 million metric tons in 2027.
Show rules for all 17 outcomes
  • 4450Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,450 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4500Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,500 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4550Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,550 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4600Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,600 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4700Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,700 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4800Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,800 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4850Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,850 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4950Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,950 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 4900Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 4,900 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 5000Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 5,000 million metric tons in 2027.
  • 5050Resolves Yes if US carbon dioxide emmissions exceeds 5,050 million metric tons in 2027.

Result confirmed by Energy Information Administration.

Trading opened
Jan 6, 2025
Trading closes
Apr 28, 2028
Expected result
Apr 28, 2028
Expected payout
May 1, 2028

More United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.