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US Total Vehicle Sales December 2026

US Total Vehicle Sales December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 8, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

This Contract is resolved based upon the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) value for the total vehicle sales (Total -- seasonally adjusted at annual rates (Millions)) in the United States published in the monthly Motor Vehicle Sales release by the BEA.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 14.8Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 14.8 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 15.2Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 15.2 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 15.6Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 15.6 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 16Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 16 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 16.4Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 16.4 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 16.8Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 16.8 million units in the US in December 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 17.2Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 17.2 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 17.6Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 17.6 million units in the US in December 2026.
  • Above 18Resolves Yes if total vehicle sales exceeds 18 million units in the US in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Sep 3, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 8, 2027
Expected result
Jan 8, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 8, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.