Warrior Met Coal

HCC · NYSE

$84.13−$0.85 (−1.00%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 7:30 PM ET

Prev close $84.98

HCC analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 7 analysts over the last 12 months. 57% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy4
Hold3
Underperform0
Sell0

12-month price target · 9 analysts

Average $107.02 (+27.2% upside)

Low: $90.90
Now: $84.13
High: $131.25

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

HCC analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
UBS	Oct 8, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$98.00 → $102.00	78%
RBC Capital	Sep 16, 2026	Maintains	Sector Perform	$90.00 → $110.00	90%
UBS	Aug 6, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$100.00 → $98.00	78%
UBS	Jun 30, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$102.00 → $100.00	78%
B. Riley Securities	Jun 10, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$117.00 → $123.00	33%
UBS	May 1, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$104.00 → $102.00	78%
UBS	Mar 27, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$101.00 → $105.00	78%
Citigroup	Mar 18, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$80.00 → $100.00	61%
UBS	Mar 12, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$100.00 → $101.00	78%
B. Riley Securities	Feb 13, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$117.00 → $120.00	33%

The case for and against

Updated Jul 31, 2026

Bull case

Warrior Met Coal is well-positioned to capitalize on global demand for steelmaking coal, with reliable rail service and the flexibility to use barges when necessary. Management's clear priority for building liquidity before increasing shareholder returns highlights their commitment to responsible capital allocation. Capex plans for the future show the potential for significant organic growth, and even with conservative assumptions, the company still has a strong FCF yield and attractive valuation. However, unpredictability of weather patterns poses a risk to projections.

Bear case

Warrior Met Coal is expected to face restructuring costs. Despite having low-cost operations, the company's cost discipline is not enough to offset the impact of weak coal demand and volatile coal prices. Additionally, the company is highly reliant on economic growth for demand of its coal, which is a risk factor for its revenue and stock price. The company has also seen a significant decrease in sales to Europe and an increase in sales to Asia, which may create geographic risk for the company.

Information on this page is provided for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Market data is delayed at least 15 minutes and is provided without warranty. Analyst ratings, price targets and company data come from third-party sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.