Climate Change

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide December 2035

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide December 2035 · December 2035 · Trading open

$222 vol.
Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 458.0 at 71%, ahead of Above 459.7 at 52%.

The market has $222 in volume across 51 trades; the most recent was on May 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 5, 2036. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The Global Monitoring Laboratory has measured carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases for several decades at a globally distributed network of air sampling sites. Data are reported as a dry air mole fraction defined as the number of molecules of carbon dioxide divided by the number of all molecules in air, including CO2 itself, after water vapor has been removed. The mole fraction is expressed as parts per million (ppm).

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 458.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 458ppm in 2035.
  • Above 459.7Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 459.7ppm in 2035.
  • 455.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 455ppm in 2035.
  • 457.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 457ppm in 2035.
  • 459.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 459ppm in 2035.
  • 460.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 460ppm in 2035.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • 461.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 461ppm in 2035.
  • 462.0Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 462ppm in 2035.
  • Above 464Resolves Yes if Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide is greater than 464ppm in 2035.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Jul 30, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 5, 2036
Expected result
Jan 5, 2036
Expected payout
Jan 5, 2036

More Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.