Open an account
Interest Rates

Fed Decision January 27 2027

Fed Decision 2027 · Jan 27, 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

  • Lower 25bps
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Lower 50bps or more
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • No change
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Raise 25bps
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Raise 50bps or more
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 27, 2027, 2:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by US Federal Reserve.

The federal funds rate is the target interest rate range set by the FOMC. This is the rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. The FOMC sets a target federal funds rate eight times a year, based on prevailing economic conditions.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Lower 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Fed lower the rate 25bps in January 2027? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?” is yes.
  • Lower 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Fed lower the rate 50bps or more in January 2027? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?” is yes.
  • No changeResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in January 2027? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?” is yes.
  • Raise 25bpsResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in January 2027? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?” is yes.
  • Raise 50bps or moreResolves Yes if the answer to “Will the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in January 2027? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?” is yes.

Result confirmed by US Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Oct 28, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 27, 2027, 2:00 PM ET
Expected result
Jan 27, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 27, 2027

More Fed Decision markets

Other dates in this series

  • Fed Decision

    Closes Dec 9, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
    • Raise 25bps 69% chanceYesNo
    • No change 29% chanceYesNo
    +3 more · 99.2K open interest

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.