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What will Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth be?

Pennsylvania GDP September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open

$21 vol.
  • Above 0%$15 vol.
    87%
    YesNo
  • Above 1%$6 vol.
    57%
    YesNo
  • Above -1%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above -2%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above -3%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above -4%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 2%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 3%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 15 outcomes
  • Above 4%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 5%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 6%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 7%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 8%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 9%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 10%
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 0% at 87%, ahead of Above 1% at 57%.

The market has $21 in volume across 3 trades; the most recent was on Sep 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 23, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The quarter-over-quarter percentage change in GDP, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis for Pennsylvania during a specified referenced period.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 0% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 1% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -1% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -2% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -3%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -3% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -4%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds -4% in Q3 2026.
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 2% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 3% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 4% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 5%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 6%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 6% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 7%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 7% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 8%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 8% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 9%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 9% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 10%Resolves Yes if Pennsylvania's quarterly GDP growth exceeds 10% in Q3 2026.

Result confirmed by Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Apr 1, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 23, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Expected result
Dec 23, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 23, 2026

More Pennsylvania GDP markets

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.