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Climate Change

Global Sea Level December 2035

Global Sea Level 2035 · Dec 31, 2035 · Trading open

$605 vol.
Show all 21 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 100 at 28%, ahead of Above 157.5 at 28%.

The market has $605 in volume across 255 trades; the most recent was on May 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 31, 2035. The result is confirmed by NASA.

Global mean sea level is an important climate indicator, providing information on how the ocean is warming and how much land ice is melting. The NASA JASON satellite measures sea level data for the entire planet every 10 days.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 100Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 100 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 157.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 157.5 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 95Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 95 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 105Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 105 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 110Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 110 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 115Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 115 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
Show rules for all 21 outcomes
  • Above 120Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 120 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • 140.0Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 140 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 125Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 125 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 130Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 130 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 135Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 135 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 142.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 142.5 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 145Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 145 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 147.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 147.5 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 150Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 150 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • 160.0Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 160 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 152.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 152.5 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 155Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 155 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 165Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 165 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 170Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 170 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.
  • Above 90Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 90 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2035?” is yes.

Result confirmed by NASA.

Trading opened
Oct 1, 2024
Trading closes
Dec 31, 2035
Expected result
Dec 31, 2035
Expected payout
Jan 2, 2036

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.