Temperatures
Monthly Global Temperature Threshold December 2035
Monthly Global Temperature Threshold December 2035 · December 2035 · Trading open
$1 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 2.25 at 14%.
The market has $1 in volume across 1 trade; the most recent was on Sep 6, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 10, 2036. The result is confirmed by NOAA.
Global average surface temperature in degrees Celsius for a given calendar month. This value reflects the average monthly temperature anomaly relative to the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 2.25Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature for any month is greater than 2.25 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by the end of 2035.
- Above 2Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature for any month is greater than 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by the end of 2035.
- Above 2.5Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature for any month is greater than 2.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by the end of 2035.
Result confirmed by NOAA.
- Trading opened
- Apr 14, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 10, 2036
- Expected result
- Jan 10, 2036
- Expected payout
- Jan 10, 2036
More Monthly Global Temperature Threshold markets
Other dates in this series
10 open interest Monthly Global Temperature Threshold
Closes Jan 10, 2041
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.