Temperatures
What will the temperature in New York City be?
New York City Hourly Temperature 2026 · Oct 30, 2026 · Trading closed
$5 vol.
OutcomeChancePrice
- Above 58$4 vol.78%Closed
- Above 59$1 vol.18%Closed
- Above 56No trades yetClosed
- Above 57No trades yetClosed
- Above 60No trades yetClosed
- Above 61No trades yetClosed
- Above 62No trades yetClosed
About this market
Traders last priced Above 58 at 78%, ahead of Above 59 at 18%.
The market has $5 in volume across 2 trades; the most recent was on Oct 30, 2026.
Trading closed on Oct 30, 2026, 3:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.
This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for New York City (Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 58Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 58 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
- Above 59Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 59 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
- Above 56Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 56 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
- Above 57Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 57 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 60 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
- Above 61Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 61 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 62Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 62 F as of 3 AM CT on October 30, 2026.
Result confirmed by Weather Underground.
- Trading opened
- Oct 30, 2026
- Trading closed
- Oct 30, 2026, 3:59 AM ET
- Expected result
- Oct 30, 2026
- Expected payout
- Oct 30, 2026
More New York City Hourly Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more New York City Temperature at 10 AM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 10:59 AM ETNew York City Temperature at 11 AM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 11:59 AM ETNew York City Temperature at 12 PM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 12:59 PM ETNew York City Temperature at 6 AM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 6:59 AM ETNew York City Temperature at 7 AM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 7:59 AM ETNew York City Temperature at 8 AM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 8:59 AM ETNew York City Temperature at 9 AM CT
Closes Oct 30, 2026, 9:59 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.