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Temperatures

What will the temperature in New York City be?

New York City Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 6, 2026 · Trading closed

$10 vol.
  • Above 64$9 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Above 65$1 vol.
    8%
    Closed
  • Above 66
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 67
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 68
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 69
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 70
    No trades yet
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced Above 64 at 98%, ahead of Above 65 at 8%.

The market has $10 in volume across 3 trades; the most recent was on Nov 6, 2026.

Trading closed on Nov 6, 2026, 4:59 PM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for New York City (Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 64Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 64 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.
  • Above 65Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 65 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.
  • Above 66Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 66 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.
  • Above 67Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 67 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.
  • Above 68Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 68 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.
  • Above 69Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 69 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 70Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 70 F as of 4 PM CT on November 6, 2026.

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 6, 2026
Trading closed
Nov 6, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Expected result
Nov 6, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 6, 2026

More New York City Hourly Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.