Temperatures
What will the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 be?
Monthly Average Global Temperature November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Dec 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Global average temperature in Celsius for a given month. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase average global temperature over time.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 0.8Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 0.8 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
- Above 0.9Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 0.9 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
- Above 1Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
- Above 1.1Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
- Above 1.2Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 1.2 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
- Above 1.3Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 1.3 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
Show rules for all 8 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 1.4Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 1.4 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
- Above 1.5Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 1.5 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
- Trading opened
- Sep 3, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 9, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 9, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 9, 2026
More Monthly Average Global Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+9 more Monthly Average Global Temperature
Closes Feb 12, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.