Temperatures
Monthly Average Global Temperature January 2027
Monthly Average Global Temperature January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 9, 2027, 11:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Global average temperature in Celsius for a given month. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase average global temperature over time.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 1Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
- Above 1.1Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
- Above 1.2Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1.2 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
- Above 1.3Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1.3 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
- Above 1.4Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1.4 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
- Above 1.5Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1.5 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 1.6Resolves Yes if the Average Global Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 1.6 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average? (climate change) (warming) (climate trend).
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
- Trading opened
- Nov 2, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 9, 2027, 11:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Feb 9, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 9, 2027
More Monthly Average Global Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+6 more Monthly Average Global Temperature
Closes Feb 12, 2027, 11:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.