What will the temperature in New York City be?
New York City Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 1, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Nov 1, 2026, 5:59 PM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.
This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for New York City (Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 55Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 55 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
- Above 56Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 56 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
- Above 57Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 57 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
- Above 58Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 58 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
- Above 59Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 59 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 60 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 61Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 61 F as of 5 PM CT on November 1, 2026.
Result confirmed by Weather Underground.
- Trading opened
- Nov 1, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 1, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
- Expected result
- Nov 1, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 1, 2026
More New York City Hourly Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 10 AM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 10:59 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 11 AM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 11:59 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 12 PM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 12:59 PM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 2 PM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 2:59 PM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 3 PM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 PM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 4 PM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 4:59 PM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 6 PM CT
Closes Nov 1, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.