What will the temperature in New York City be?
New York City Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Nov 12, 2026, 9:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.
This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for New York City (Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 55Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 55 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 56Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 56 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 57Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 57 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 58Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 58 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 59Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 59 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 60 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 61Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 61 F as of 8 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
Result confirmed by Weather Underground.
- Trading opened
- Nov 12, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 12, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Nov 12, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 12, 2026
More New York City Hourly Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 12 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 1:00 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 2 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 3 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 4:00 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 4 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 5:00 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 5 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 6:00 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 6 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 AM ET +5 moreNew York City Temperature at 7 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.