Temperatures
What will the temperature in San Francisco be?
San Francisco Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open
$7 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 59 at 31%, ahead of Above 60 at 12%.
The market has $7 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.
This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for San Francisco (San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 59Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 59 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 60 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 55Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 55 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 56Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 56 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 57Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 57 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
- Above 58Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 58 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 61Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 61 F as of 2 AM CT on November 12, 2026.
Result confirmed by Weather Underground.
- Trading opened
- Nov 12, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Nov 12, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 11, 2026
More San Francisco Hourly Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more San Francisco Temperature at 12 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 1:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 3 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 4:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 4 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 5:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 5 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 6:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 6 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 7 AM CT
Closes Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.