Temperatures

What will the temperature in San Francisco be?

San Francisco Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 1, 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

  • Above 49
    No trades yet
  • Above 50
    No trades yet
  • Above 51
    No trades yet
  • Above 52
    No trades yet
  • Above 53
    No trades yet
  • Above 54
    No trades yet
  • Above 55
    No trades yet

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 1, 2026, 8:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for San Francisco (San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 49 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 50 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 51 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 52 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 53 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 54 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 55 F as of 8 AM CT on November 1, 2026.

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 1, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 1, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 1, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 1, 2026

More San Francisco Hourly Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.