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What will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP be?

US Real GDP December 2035 · December 2035 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 13 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Mar 27, 2036. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

A comprehensive measure of U.S. economic activity. Real GDP measures the value of the final goods and services produced in the United States (without double counting the intermediate goods and services used up to produce them). Changes in Real GDP are the most popular indicator of the nation's overall economic health.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • -1.0Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -1% in Q4 2035.
  • -2.0Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -2% in Q4 2035.
  • -3.0Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -3% in Q4 2035.
  • -4.0Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -4% in Q4 2035.
  • 1.0Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 1% in Q4 2035.
  • Above -5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -5% in Q4 2035.
Show rules for all 13 outcomes
  • Above -6%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -6% in Q4 2035.
  • Above -7%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -7% in Q4 2035.
  • Above -8%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -8% in Q4 2035.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q4 2035.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 0% in Q4 2035.
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q4 2035.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 2% in Q4 2035.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Dec 11, 2024
Trading closes
Mar 27, 2036
Expected result
Mar 27, 2036
Expected payout
Mar 27, 2036

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.