Economic Activity
What will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP be?
US Real GDP December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open
$15 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 1% at 68%, ahead of Above 1.5% at 61%.
The market has $15 in volume across 4 trades; the most recent was on Oct 1, 2026.
Trading closes on Mar 30, 2028. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
A comprehensive measure of U.S. economic activity. Real GDP measures the value of the final goods and services produced in the United States (without double counting the intermediate goods and services used up to produce them). Changes in Real GDP are the most popular indicator of the nation's overall economic health.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 1%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 1% in Q4 2027.
- Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q4 2027.
- Above 2%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 2% in Q4 2027.
- Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 2.5% in Q4 2027.
- Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q4 2027.
- Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q4 2027.
Show rules for all 11 outcomesShow fewer
- Above -1%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -1% in Q4 2027.
- Above -2%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds -2% in Q4 2027.
- Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q4 2027.
- Above 0%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 0% in Q4 2027.
- Above 3%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceeds 3% in Q4 2027.
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- Trading opened
- Mar 31, 2026
- Trading closes
- Mar 30, 2028
- Expected result
- Mar 30, 2028
- Expected payout
- Mar 30, 2028
More US Real GDP markets
Other dates in this series
+7 more · 880 open interest US Real GDP Q1
Closes Jun 25, 2027US Real GDP Q4
Closes Mar 27, 2031US Real GDP Q4
Closes Mar 27, 2036
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.