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Economic Activity

New York Personal Income Q3 2026

New York Personal Income September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open

$159 vol.
Show all 12 outcomes
  • More than 2%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • More than 3%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • More than 4%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • More than 6%
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price -4 at 95%, ahead of -5 at 94%.

The market has $159 in volume across 20 trades; the most recent was on Oct 1, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 23, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Percent change in State Personal Income for New York in the specified quarter as published by the BEA.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • -4Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than -4% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than -5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -1Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than -1% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -2Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than -2% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 0%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 0% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than -3% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • More than 1%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 1% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 2%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 2% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 3%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 3% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 4%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 4% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 6%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will average personal income in New York increase by more than 6% in Q3 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Feb 10, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 23, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Expected result
Dec 23, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 23, 2026

More New York Personal Income markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.