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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) be?

Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 11, 2026 · Trading closed

$197 vol.
  • Below 40$53 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 42$27 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Below 41$29 vol.
    89%
    Closed
  • Below 39$76 vol.
    56%
    Closed
  • Below 38$11 vol.
    30%
    Closed
  • Below 33
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 34
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 35
    No trades yet
    Closed
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Below 36
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 37
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Below 43
    No trades yet
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced Below 40 at 98%, ahead of Below 42 at 98%.

The market has $197 in volume across 45 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closed on Nov 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as reported by the Weather Underground for the Minneapolis-Saint Paul Intl Airport/Wold-Chamberlain Field Station (KMSP).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/minneapolis-kmsp.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 40 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 42 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 41 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 39 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 38Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 38 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 33Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 33 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 34Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 34 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 35Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 35 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 36Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 36 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 37Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 37 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 43 F on November 11, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 10, 2026
Trading closed
Nov 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 12, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 11, 2026

More Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature Low markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.