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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) be?

Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$260 vol.
Show all 12 outcomes
  • Below 24
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 25
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 26
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Below 32
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Below 29 at 98%, ahead of Below 30 at 94%.

The market has $260 in volume across 57 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as reported by the Weather Underground for the Minneapolis-Saint Paul Intl Airport/Wold-Chamberlain Field Station (KMSP).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/minneapolis-kmsp.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 29Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 29 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 30Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 30 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 31Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 31 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 28Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 28 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 27Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 27 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 21Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 21 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • Below 22Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 22 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 23Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 23 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 24Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 24 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 25Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 25 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 26Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 26 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 32Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) is below 32 F on November 15, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 16, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.