Economic Activity
Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q1 2027?
US Recession March 2027 · March 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for it.
Trading closes on Jun 24, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
A Recession is considered to have occurred when an economy experiences two or more consecutive quarters of negative real Gross Domestic Product growth.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- US Recession By Q1 2027Resolves Yes if the United States economy enter a recession by the ends of Q1 2027.
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- Trading opened
- Jun 9, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jun 24, 2027
- Expected result
- Jun 24, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jun 24, 2027
More US Recession markets
Other dates in this series
471 open interest US Recession Q2
Closes Sep 30, 2027US Recession Q3
Closes Dec 23, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.