Economic Activity

Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q2 2027?

US Recession June 2027 · June 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

  • US Recession By Q2 2027
    —

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for it.

Trading closes on Sep 30, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

A Recession is considered to have occurred when an economy experiences two or more consecutive quarters of negative real Gross Domestic Product growth.

Rules and timeline

A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.

  • US Recession By Q2 2027Resolves Yes if the United States economy enter a recession by the ends of Q2 2027.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Sep 22, 2026
Trading closes
Sep 30, 2027
Expected result
Sep 30, 2027
Expected payout
Sep 30, 2027

More US Recession markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.