Economic Activity
What will the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP be?
Canada Real GDP September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open
$934 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above -0.8% at 94%, ahead of Above -1.2% at 94%.
The market has $934 in volume across 235 trades; the most recent was on Oct 30, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Statistics Canada.
Canada Real GDP is typically published by Statistics Canada on the last business day of the second month following the end of the quarter being reported on at 7:30 AM CT.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above -0.8%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -0.8% in Q3 2026.
- Above -1.2%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -1.2% in Q3 2026.
- Above -0.4%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -0.4% in Q3 2026.
- Above 0%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 0% in Q3 2026.
- Above 0.4%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 0.4% in Q3 2026.
- Above 0.8%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 0.8% in Q3 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above -1.6%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds -1.6% in Q3 2026.
- Above 1.2%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 1.2% in Q3 2026.
- Above 1.6%Resolves Yes if the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceeds 1.6% in Q3 2026.
Result confirmed by Statistics Canada.
- Trading opened
- Nov 25, 2025
- Trading closes
- Nov 30, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
- Expected result
- Nov 30, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 30, 2026
More Canada Real GDP markets
Other dates in this series
+8 more · 3.6K open interest Canada Real GDP Q1
Closes Jun 2, 2027, 8:30 AM ETCanada Real GDP Q2
Closes Sep 6, 2027, 8:30 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.