Economic Activity
Will Canada's economy enter a recession by the end of Q3 2026?
Canada Recession September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for it.
Trading closes on Nov 27, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Statistics Canada.
A recession is typically defined as a period of negative economic growth, where a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracts for two consecutive quarters or more.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- Canada Recession By Q3 2026Resolves Yes if Canada's economy enter a recession by the ends of Q3 2026.
Result confirmed by Statistics Canada.
- Trading opened
- Nov 25, 2025
- Trading closes
- Nov 27, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
- Expected result
- Nov 27, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 27, 2026
More Canada Recession markets
Other dates in this series
Canada Recession Q1
Closes May 30, 2027, 8:30 AM ETCanada Recession Q4
Closes Feb 29, 2028, 8:30 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.