Economic Activity

US Corporate Profits Q3 2026

US Corporate Profits September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open

$146 vol.
Show all 14 outcomes
  • More than 6.5%$5 vol.
    25%
  • More than 8.5%$2 vol.
    7%
  • More than 10.5%
    No trades yet
  • More than 12.5%
    No trades yet
  • More than 14.5%
    No trades yet
  • More than 16.5%
    No trades yet

About this market

Traders price -9.5 at 96%, ahead of -7.5 at 95%.

The market has $146 in volume across 27 trades; the most recent was on Oct 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 25, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Corporate profits represents the portion of the total income earned from current production that is accounted for by U.S. corporations.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • -9.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -9.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -7.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -7.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -3.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -3.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -5.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -5.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • -1.5Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -1.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 0.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 14 outcomes
  • More than 2.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 4.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 4.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 6.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 6.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 8.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 8.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 10.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 10.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 12.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 12.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 14.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 14.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.
  • More than 16.5%Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 16.5% in Q3 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Nov 27, 2024
Trading closes
Nov 25, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 25, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 25, 2026

More US Corporate Profits markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.