Economic Activity

What will Japan's quarterly change in real GDP be?

Japan GDP September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open

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  • Above -1%
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  • Above -2%
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  • Above 0.5%
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  • Above 0%
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  • Above 1.5%
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  • Above 1%
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Show all 9 outcomes
  • Above 2%
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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ET. The result is confirmed by ForecastEx.

The official quarter-over-quarter change in real GDP, as published by the designated national statistics agency of the specified country for the referenced period.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -2% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0% in Q3 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 2% in Q3 2026.

Result confirmed by ForecastEx.

Trading opened
Feb 10, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Expected result
Nov 15, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

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Other dates in this series

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    Closes May 10, 2027, 7:50 PM ET
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  • Japan GDP Q2

    Closes Aug 16, 2027, 7:50 PM ET
    • Above -0.5% No trades yetYesNo
    • Above -1.5% No trades yetYesNo
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.