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What will the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP be?

Hong Kong Real GDP September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open

$319 vol.
  • Above -1%$48 vol.
    98%
    YesNo
  • Above 0%$102 vol.
    97%
    YesNo
  • Above 1%$169 vol.
    97%
    YesNo
  • Above -0.5%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 0.5%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 1.5%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 2.5%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 2%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 3.5%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 3%
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 4%
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above -1% at 98%, ahead of Above 0% at 97%.

The market has $319 in volume across 35 trades; the most recent was on Jul 31, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 3:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department.

The Revised Figures on Gross Domestic Product are published by the Hong Kong Census & Statistics Department in the second month after the end of each Quarter (i.e. February, May, August, and November), usually on the second or third Friday of the month.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds -1% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 0% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 1% in Q3 2026.
  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q3 2026.
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 2.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 2% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 3.5%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 3.5% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 3% in Q3 2026.
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceeds 4% in Q3 2026.

Result confirmed by Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department.

Trading opened
Oct 20, 2025
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 12, 2026

More Hong Kong Real GDP markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.