Temperatures
What will the temperature in San Francisco be?
San Francisco Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.
This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for San Francisco (San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 55Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 55 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
- Above 56Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 56 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
- Above 57Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 57 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
- Above 58Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 58 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
- Above 59Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 59 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
- Above 60Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 60 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 61Resolves Yes if the temperature in San Francisco exceeds 61 F as of 10 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
Result confirmed by Weather Underground.
- Trading opened
- Nov 15, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Nov 15, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 15, 2026
More San Francisco Hourly Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+5 more San Francisco Temperature at 12 PM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 3 AM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 4:00 AM ET- Above 55 92% chanceClosed
- Above 56 86% chanceClosed
San Francisco Temperature at 4 AM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 5:00 AM ET- Above 55 82% chanceClosed
- Above 56 28% chanceClosed
San Francisco Temperature at 5 AM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM ET- Above 54 90% chanceClosed
- Above 55 73% chanceClosed
San Francisco Temperature at 6 AM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 7:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 7 AM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 8:00 AM ETSan Francisco Temperature at 8 AM CT
Closes Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.