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What will the US Retail Sales growth rate be?

US Retail Sales Monthly November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 16, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

The sales estimates represent total sales and receipts of all establishments primarily engaged in retail trade. They do not include sales at retail by manufacturers, wholesalers, service establishments, and others whose primary activity is other than retail trade.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -0.5% in November 2026.
  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -1.5% in November 2026.
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -1% in November 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -2% in November 2026.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 0.5% in November 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 0% in November 2026.
Show rules for all 10 outcomes
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 1.5% in November 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 1% in November 2026.
  • Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 2.5% in November 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 2% in November 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Sep 16, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 16, 2026
Expected result
Dec 16, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 16, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.