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What will the US Retail Sales growth rate be?

US Retail Sales Monthly December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open

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Show all 10 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 13, 2028. The result is confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

The sales estimates represent total sales and receipts of all establishments primarily engaged in retail trade. They do not include sales at retail by manufacturers, wholesalers, service establishments, and others whose primary activity is other than retail trade.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -0.5% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -1.5% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -1% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than -2% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 0.5% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 0% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
Show rules for all 10 outcomes
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 1.5% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 1% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 2.5% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if the US Retail Sales growth rate is greater than 2% in December 2027? (consumer spending) (commerce) (shopping).

Result confirmed by U.S. Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Oct 15, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 13, 2028
Expected result
Jan 13, 2028
Expected payout
Jan 13, 2028

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.