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Temperatures

US Temperature December 2028

US Temperature December 2028 · December 2028 · Trading open

$211 vol.
Show all 14 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 53.5 at 50%, ahead of Above 54 at 35%.

The market has $211 in volume across 109 trades; the most recent was on Aug 28, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 11, 2029. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

NOAA Contiguous U.S. Average Temperature comes from the U.S. Climate Division Database using the nClimDiv dataset. Data is reviewed by ForecastEx at the end of each year. Year-to-date average temperature data is measured in absolute degrees Celsius.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 53.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 53.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 54 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 54.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 54.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 55 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 55.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 55.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 50.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 50.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
Show rules for all 14 outcomes
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 51 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 51.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 51.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 52 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 52.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 52.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 53 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 56 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 56.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 56.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2028 is greater than 57 degrees Fahrenheit.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Dec 29, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 11, 2029
Expected result
Jan 11, 2029
Expected payout
Jan 11, 2029

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.