Open an account
Temperatures

US Temperature December 2027

US Temperature December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open

$132 vol.
Show all 12 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 51.5 at 98%, ahead of Above 52 at 98%.

The market has $132 in volume across 25 trades; the most recent was on May 25, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 14, 2028. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

NOAA Contiguous U.S. Average Temperature comes from the U.S. Climate Division Database using the nClimDiv dataset. Data is reviewed by ForecastEx at the end of each year. Year-to-date average temperature data is measured in absolute degrees Celsius.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 51.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 51.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 52 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 52.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 52.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • 53.0Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 53 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 53.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 53.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • 54.0Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 54 degrees Fahrenheit.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • Above 54.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 54.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • 55.0Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 55 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 55.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 55.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • 56.0Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 56 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 56.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 56.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2027 is greater than 57 degrees Fahrenheit.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Jan 9, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 14, 2028
Expected result
Jan 14, 2028
Expected payout
Jan 14, 2028

More US Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.