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Temperatures

US Temperature December 2030

US Temperature December 2030 · December 2030 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 17 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 10, 2031. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

NOAA Contiguous U.S. Average Temperature comes from the U.S. Climate Division Database using the nClimDiv dataset. Data is reviewed by ForecastEx at the end of each year. Year-to-date average temperature data is measured in absolute degrees Celsius.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 52.8Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 52.8 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 53.3Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 53.3 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 53.8Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 53.8 F (12.11 C).
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 54 F (12.22 C).
  • Above 54.2Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 54.2 F (12.3 C).
  • Above 54.41Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 54.41 F (12.45 C).
Show rules for all 17 outcomes
  • Above 54.6Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 54.6 F (12.6 C).
  • Above 54.8Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 54.8 F (12.67 C).
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 55 F (12.78 C).
  • Above 55.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 55.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 56 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 56.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 56.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 57 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 57.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 57.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 58 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 58.5Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 58.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the average US Temperature in 2030 is greater than 59 degrees Fahrenheit.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Jul 30, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 10, 2031
Expected result
Jan 10, 2031
Expected payout
Jan 10, 2031

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.