Temperatures
What will the Average US Temperature in January 2027 be?
Monthly Average United States Temperature January 2027 · January 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 8, 2027, 11:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
United States average temperature in Fahrenheit for a given month. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase average global temperature over time.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 29Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 29 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 30Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 30 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 31Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 31 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 32Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 32 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 33Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 33 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 34Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 34 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 35Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 35 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 36Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 36 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
- Above 37Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in January 2027 is greater than 37 degrees Fahrenheit? (climate) (weather trend).
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
- Trading opened
- Nov 2, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 8, 2027, 11:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Feb 8, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 8, 2027
More Monthly Average United States Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
+7 more Monthly Average United States Temperature
Closes Jan 11, 2027, 11:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.