Economic Activity

What will Germany's quarterly change in real GDP be?

Germany GDP June 2027 · June 2027 · Trading open

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  • Above -0.5%
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  • Above -1.5%
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  • Above -1%
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  • Above -2%
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  • Above 0.5%
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  • Above 0%
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  • Above 1.5%
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  • Above 1%
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Show all 9 outcomes
  • Above 2%
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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jul 30, 2027, 5:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Destatis.

This Contract is resolved based on the "Gross domestic product" press release, as published by Destatis, the official Federal Statistical Office of Germany. The press releases can be found here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -2% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 2% in Q2 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).

Result confirmed by Destatis.

Trading opened
Nov 2, 2026
Trading closes
Jul 30, 2027, 5:00 AM ET
Expected result
Jul 30, 2027
Expected payout
Jul 30, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.